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  • Walter's Blog.
    • Crime in Hong Kong >
      • Triads
      • The Saga That Rocked Hong Kong's Legal Fraternity
      • Yip Kai-foon - No Hero
  • History of Hong Kong Policing
    • History 1841 to 1941
    • History 1945 to 1967
    • Anatomy of the 50 cent Riot - 1966
    • The Fall of a Commissioner.
    • History 1967 to 1980
    • Three Wise Men from the West
    • 1980 Joining Up - Grafton Street >
      • Arrival and First Impressions
      • First Week
      • Training
      • Passing Out
      • Yaumati Cowboy >
        • Getting on the Streets
        • Jumpers, pill poppers and the indoor BBQ
        • Into a Minefield.
        • Tempo of the City
      • Why Tango in Paris, when you can Foxtrot in Kowloon? >
        • Baptism By Fire
        • Kai Tak with Mrs Thatcher.
        • Home; The Boy Returns
      • 1984 - 1986 >
        • PTU Instructor & Getting Hitched
        • Having a go: SDU
        • Starting a Chernobyl family
        • EOD - Don't touch anything
        • Semen Stains and the rules
      • 1987 to 1992 - Should I Stay or Go? >
        • Blue Lights, Sirens & Grenades
        • Drugs, Broken Kids & A Plane Crash
        • 600 Happy Meals Please!
        • Hong Kong's Best Insurance
        • Riding the Iron Horse
    • The Blue Berets.
    • The African Korps and other tribes.
    • Getting About - Transport.
    • A Pub in every station
    • Bullshit Bingo & Meetings
    • Godber - The one who nearly got away.
    • Uncle Ho
  • Home
  • Introduction
  • About Walter
  • Top 20 Films
    • 2001 - A Space Odyssey.
    • The Godfather.
    • Blade Runner
    • Kes
    • Star Wars
    • Aliens
    • Ferris Bueller's Day Off
    • The Life of Brian
    • Dr Strangelove.
    • Infernal Affairs
    • Bridge on the River Kwai.
    • This Is Spinal Tap.
    • Chung King Express
    • An Officer and a Gentleman
    • PTU
    • Contact
    • Saving Private Ryan
    • Family Guy Star Wars
    • Zulu
    • Hard Day's Night
  • Blogs Greatest Hits
    • Savile : Now Then, Now Then
    • A Silly Country
    • Vennells - In the Faustian Realm Page
    • A Bond Is Broken
    • The English Eccentric Lives On
    • How is democracy working for you?
    • Occupy Central - A creature void of form
    • Brave New World
    • Bob Dylan and Me.
    • Sweet Caroline - Never Seemed So Good!
    • Postmodernism - Spiraling down the sink hole.
    • Why Dad is so important.
    • Man Overboard
    • Suffer the Children
    • Tony Blair, the turd that won't flush
    • Algorithms and Robots - the changing face of work
    • Campus Warfare
    • Are We Alone?
    • There is no motive.
    • The State of Play
    • Crisis, What Crisis?
    • Milk Powder - A Test of public sentiment.
    • Hello Baldy - Free Speech.
    • THe Other Side of the Story
    • The Merry House of Windsor
    • The Utility of the Windsors
    • Civil War?
    • Big Lily - The Headscarf Hero
    • RTHK - Spinning.
    • Occupy Leaders Convicted - What Next?
    • Hypocrites
    • Hong Kong's Lady Macbeth
    • Beijing Says Enough Is Enough
    • The Gardens of Fuyang
    • Beating the Devil - under a flyover
    • Culture Eats Strategy for Breakfast
    • Gweilo 鬼 佬​
    • What goes around, comes around!
    • The Cobra
    • Liz Truss - A Cosplay Thatcher
    • Liz Truss trashes and crashes.
    • Hong Kong Judicary - has something gone wrong
    • Hubris, arrogance and failure.
    • Carry On Up the Khyber
    • The Unseen Hand
    • The Laptop that won't shut down
    • Legacy Media - the end is near
    • Malcolm Tucker Tribute Act
    • Journalism - Something has gone wrong?
    • Decline of the West? Maybe?
    • Canada's Killing Machine
    • English Uprising
    • South Yorkshire Police Madness
    • Deceitful BBC
    • Fair Dee Well
    • British Policing Needs A Reality Check.
    • Being a man is not a crime yet!
    • Putting Old Oak Common on the map.
    • When the winds stops blowing
    • Vietnam Part Deux - The Retreat from Kabul
    • Not Enough Of Us
    • The Long Read >
      • The Big Game
      • The Hidden Leader
      • British Policing - What's to be done?
      • How The Walls Come Down
      • War in Ukraine - the narrative and other stuff.
      • New World Order - Something is going on!
      • The Post Office; Lie, Deny, Cheat, Hide & Steal
      • To Scare the Monkeys
      • The U.K. is a tinderbox or are we all getting it wrong?
  • Email Form Page
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Decline of the West? Maybe?

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"Spengler's view of history is deeply pessimistic. He suggests that Western civilisation's decline is already well underway."
The return of geopolitics, catapulted forward by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, will reshape world economic activity, alliances, and the standing of nations for decades to come. I've discussed some of these issues in a companion article, which explores the world that will emerge as the U.S.'s power wanes but does not disappear while China and India rise. 

Moreover, the fact that the global south hasn't embraced the West's narrative on Ukraine is also a significant feature of the new emerging world order. 

With so much change and confusion, many pundits grasping for comprehension of these events have sought refuge in the works of German philosopher and polymath Oswald Spengler (May 1880-May 1936).

Spengler's best-known work, The Decline of the West, is fascinating and controversial. Published in two volumes in 1918 and 1922, it offers a unique perspective on the history of human civilisation. The book presents a view of cyclical rather than linear history. It argues that every culture and civilisation has a life cycle following a predictable growth pattern, maturity, decline, and eventual death pattern.

At its core, "The Decline of the West" critiques the Enlightenment belief in progress and the idea that human society steadily improves over time. Spengler argues that this view is fundamentally flawed and that history is not a steady march towards progress and Enlightenment but a series of cycles of growth and decline. 

He suggests that every culture and civilisation has a unique "morphology" that determines its destiny. As a result, each one will eventually reach a stage of decline and decay, no matter how advanced or successful it may be in its prime. 

Spengler's view of history is deeply pessimistic. He suggests that Western civilisation's decline is already well underway. He argues that the West has reached the final stage of its life cycle and is now in a state of irreversible decline. 

He asserts this came about because the West has lost touch with its roots and traditions and is now dominated by a soulless and materialistic culture devoid of any real meaning or purpose. Thus, it is easy to see why those who despair at the state of American and European societies see resonance in Spengler's ideas. 

According to Spengler, the West's decline began in the late 19th century, as it became increasingly dominated by the forces of rationalism and materialism. Spengler drew on Nietzsche's idea that "God is dead, and we killed him." 

He suggests that the West has lost its spiritual and creative vitality and that a consumerism and mass production culture now dominates. 

Moreover, he argues that this culture is fundamentally shallow and empty and incapable of producing great works of art, literature, or philosophy. Anyone who has seen a recent Hollywood movie would agree.

Something strange has indeed happened in the ethical atmosphere of the 21st-century West. A century has passed since the masses accepted Christianity as setting the norms in morality, the foundations of culture, law, and values. Even fifty years ago, most people in the West thought marriage was the best instrument for social stability and for raising children and was solely a union between a man and a woman. That has changed, likewise, attitudes towards euthanasia.

In 2013, Putin said, "We see many Euro-Atlantic countries are rejecting their roots, including the Christian values that constitute the basis of Western civilisation. They deny moral principles and all traditional identities: national, cultural, religious and sexual." 

That may explain why Putin enjoys some tacit support from the Christian right in America. Should Trump or DeSantis gain the Whitehouse, it will be interesting to see if robust U.S. support for Ukraine continues. 

Some scholars argue that Spengler's cyclical view of history is too simplistic and fails to account for human civilisation's complex and unpredictable nature. Others say his ideas are too dark and pessimistic and offer little hope or inspiration for the future. 

In this regard, it is worth remembering that Spengler formulated his ideas during and in the aftermath of World War One, as German society collapsed and convulsed. Moreover, he wasn't witness to the ability of Western cultures to reinvent themselves. For example, the U.S. has shown an ability to adapt to the structural shifts and the increasing regionalisation of the world order.

Despite these criticisms, Spengler's work continues to be widely read and debated today, significantly impacting many fields. For example, his influence can be seen in the study of cultural evolution, which has become an increasingly important field in recent years. 

Spengler's ideas have also influenced the development of authoritarian and fascist political movements. These movements have been critical of liberal democracy, emphasising the importance of solid leadership and a centralised state. They have also been critical of the Enlightenment's emphasis on individualism and have argued that the needs of the community should take precedence over the needs of the individual.

It is important to note, however, that Spengler himself did not advocate for any specific political ideology or movement. Instead, he was a cultural pessimist critical of liberalism and Marxism.

Whether one agrees with his ideas or not, it is impossible to ignore the profound impact that his work has had on our understanding of history, culture, and civilisation. 

May 2023

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