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    • Malcolm Tucker Tribute Act
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    • Decline of the West? Maybe?
    • Canada's Killing Machine
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    • British Policing Needs A Reality Check.
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    • Putting Old Oak Common on the map.
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      • New World Order - Something is going on!
      • The Post Office; Lie, Deny, Cheat, Hide & Steal
      • To Scare the Monkeys
  • Email Form Page
  • Walter's Blog.
  • Home
  • Introduction
  • About Walter
  • 1980 Joining Up - Grafton Street
    • Arrival and First Impressions
    • First Week
    • Training
    • Passing Out
    • Yaumati Cowboy >
      • Getting on the Streets
      • Jumpers, pill poppers and the indoor BBQ
      • Tempo of the City
      • Into a Minefield.
    • Why Tango in Paris, when you can Foxtrot in Kowloon? >
      • Baptism By Fire
      • Kai Tak with Mrs Thatcher.
      • Home; The Boy Returns
    • 1984 - 1986 >
      • PTU Instructor & Getting Hitched
      • Having a go: SDU
      • Starting a Chernobyl family
      • EOD - Don't touch anything
      • Semen Stains and the rules
    • 1987 to 1992 - Should I Stay or Go? >
      • Blue Lights, Sirens & Grenades
      • Drugs, Broken Kids & A Plane Crash
      • 600 Happy Meals Please!
      • Hong Kong's Best Insurance
      • Riding the Iron Horse
  • Crime in Hong Kong
    • Triads
    • The Saga That Rocked Hong Kong's Legal Fraternity
    • Yip Kai-foon - No Hero
  • History of Hong Kong Policing
    • History 1841 to 1941
    • History 1945 to 1967
    • Anatomy of the 50 cent Riot - 1966
    • The Fall of a Commissioner.
    • History 1967 to 1980
    • Three Wise Men from the West
    • The Blue Berets.
    • The African Korps and other tribes.
    • Getting About - Transport.
    • A Pub in every station
    • Bullshit Bingo & Meetings
    • Godber - The one who nearly got away.
    • Uncle Ho
  • Top 20 Films
    • 2001 - A Space Odyssey.
    • The Godfather.
    • Blade Runner
    • Kes
    • Star Wars
    • Aliens
    • Ferris Bueller's Day Off
    • The Life of Brian
    • Dr Strangelove.
    • Infernal Affairs
    • Bridge on the River Kwai.
    • This Is Spinal Tap.
    • Chung King Express
    • An Officer and a Gentleman
    • PTU
    • Contact
    • Saving Private Ryan
    • Family Guy Star Wars
    • Zulu
    • Hard Day's Night
  • Blogs Greatest Hits
    • Vennells - In the Faustian Realm Page
    • A Bond Is Broken
    • The English Eccentric Lives On
    • How is democracy working for you?
    • Occupy Central - A creature void of form
    • Brave New World
    • Bob Dylan and Me.
    • Sweet Caroline - Never Seemed So Good!
    • Postmodernism - Spiraling down the sink hole.
    • Why Dad is so important.
    • Man Overboard
    • Suffer the Children
    • Tony Blair, the turd that won't flush
    • Algorithms and Robots - the changing face of work
    • Campus Warfare
    • Are We Alone?
    • There is no motive.
    • The State of Play
    • Crisis, What Crisis?
    • Milk Powder - A Test of public sentiment.
    • Hello Baldy - Free Speech.
    • THe Other Side of the Story
    • The Merry House of Windsor
    • The Utility of the Windsors
    • Civil War?
    • Big Lily - The Headscarf Hero
    • RTHK - Spinning.
    • Occupy Leaders Convicted - What Next?
    • Hypocrites
    • Hong Kong's Lady Macbeth
    • Beijing Says Enough Is Enough
    • The Gardens of Fuyang
    • Beating the Devil - under a flyover
    • Culture Eats Strategy for Breakfast
    • Gweilo 鬼 佬​
    • What goes around, comes around!
    • The Cobra
    • Liz Truss - A Cosplay Thatcher
    • Liz Truss trashes and crashes.
    • Hong Kong Judicary - has something gone wrong
    • Hubris, arrogance and failure.
    • Carry On Up the Khyber
    • The Unseen Hand
    • The Laptop that won't shut down
    • Legacy Media - the end is near
    • Malcolm Tucker Tribute Act
    • Journalism - Something has gone wrong?
    • Decline of the West? Maybe?
    • Canada's Killing Machine
    • English Uprising
    • South Yorkshire Police Madness
    • Deceitful BBC
    • Fair Dee Well
    • British Policing Needs A Reality Check.
    • Being a man is not a crime yet!
    • Putting Old Oak Common on the map.
    • When the winds stops blowing
    • The Long Read >
      • The Big Game
      • The Hidden Leader
      • British Policing - What's to be done?
      • How The Walls Come Down
      • War in Ukraine - the narrative and other stuff.
      • New World Order - Something is going on!
      • The Post Office; Lie, Deny, Cheat, Hide & Steal
      • To Scare the Monkeys
  • Email Form Page
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Are We Alone?

Picture
If we did make contact, what would be the consequences?
Probably not. With 100 billion planets in the known Universe, it's likely that life exists out there. The conditions needed for carbon-based organic life are well known. Moreover, these conditions are not unique to Earth. So, how do we meet up with our fellow life-forms?

There are a few factors that make contact a challenge. The first is proximity, in both time and distance. Even if alien life coincides with us in time, the vastness of space makes linking up improbable. The distances involved are staggering. Communication by current known channels has a limit called the 'speed of light'. Thus, if we did hook up, a delayed conversation would unfold over centuries.

​Another question arises: if the extraterrestrials advanced to a level that allowed them to reach us, would we even recognise them as a life form?  A sentient ball of gas may go unnoticed. It's not something within our experience. Then, you've got the whole communication issue: interpreting and understanding them. There are no easy answers. 

We are currently looking for other life forms using our human-based technology. It's the only option we've got. Whether this is the right way to search is a moot point. Even so, our adoption of math as the universal language is logical. Prime numbers present a helpful signal because nature doesn't manifest them. In this regard, the movie Contact was spot on.

If we did make contact, what would be the consequences? Governments have been preparing for that eventuality since the 1950s. The U.S. military has a seven-step procedure. You can assume that extraterrestrials will adopt something similar. The first step is covert observations from a distance, which raises the question: Are we being watched now? 

The second step is covert visitation. This stage involves up-close observation and assessing technological abilities. The key to this part of the process is assessing the hostility likely to be encountered. Weapons systems would be of prime interest. Again, you'd want to know what the other side can do if things get nasty. 

Moving forward with the third step, covert or open contact is made: close encounters of the third kind. After this, we go through various stages of introduction and communication. 

In all this, there are tremendous risks to our civilisation civilisation. The continued existence of mankind is in jeopardy. A good part of humanity will exhibit shock; others will express elation.  A third group will accept it in their stride. Of course, emotions will range across that whole spectrum. But let's recognise we've been talking about it for decades. Movies and TV shows have conditioned us to the possibility,  so I'm not expecting a complete meltdown. However, the societal impacts could be profound, from reevaluating religious beliefs to the potential disruption of our technological infrastructure.  

In addition to that emotional outburst, the world's religions must reconsider their position. Their underpinning tenets are no longer sustainable. The Gods will see their status eroded, although no doubt the blind faithful will hang on to their dogma. Religions have an uncanny ability to perform mental gymnastics in the face of facts. They can twist their doctrine to meet new circumstances. Alien contact will cause them some soul-searching. Yet, don't expect them to concede. The potential impact on religious beliefs and institutions is a significant aspect of the societal implications of extraterrestrial contact.  

A danger comes in the reaction of institutions that feel their status is threatened. For example, the Catholic Church.  Seeing its teaching laid to waste, it will fear its future. It may mobilise its influence to disrupt acceptance of our true position in the Cosmos. History tells us it is capable of such behaviour. Look at the treatment of Servetus and Galileo. One burned at the stake, the other locked up for life to prevent the spread of scientific facts. 

That first contact will have a profound impact on our modern infrastructure. Be ready for the Internet and IT systems to fail. Overwhelmed by an unmanageable surge in usage, they will falter. We'll be exchanging information and expressing opinions on a scale never seen before. Even minor emergencies, such as plane crashes, can produce similar effects. Moreover, the blackout will fuel fears and apprehension that we are under attack. Demands to destroy the aliens can be expected.

Contact brings other risks. The exchange of diseases is possible. Each side will need to take precautions to protect itself. Assuming the aliens are an organic life-form, all aspects of life on Earth are at risk. This realisation should make us cautious and aware of the potential dangers of such a monumental moment. 

The next troubling aspect is communication between us and the alien. This step takes us into a whole realm of dilemmas. Communication is a complex, nuanced process. Variations in intellectual abilities and comprehension are relevant. Can we even recognise the form of communication? As mentioned above, maths provides a good starting point.

Finally, the ultimate question must be, do they come in peace? Stephen Hawking takes the negative position. He parallels the Europeans' first landings in North and South America, which didn't end well for the natives. Not only did diseases have an impact, but the plundering of resources also took place. Those who resisted were wiped out with their culture. This uncertainty about the aliens' intentions should keep us intrigued and curious about the future. 

Others take a different view. They posit that advanced technological cultures emerge once cooperation and peaceful coexistence exist. Such a view holds that the advanced nature of the alien culture equates to its benign nature. That's assuming that their culture has qualities such as compassion and empathy. What is more, they understand its application to us. 

Before answering that final question, let us contemplate why aliens would come to Earth. The ability to cross vast distances of space and survive the journey to arrive at Earth suggests a life form far more advanced than ours. If these extraterrestrials are so clever, why bother with our unremarkable planet? Earth has no unique resources.  There is nothing of value here the alien cannot produce or source elsewhere. Yes, we may be of some esoteric interest to an alien academic writing his doctorate. Beyond that, why bother venturing to this distant spiral arm of the Milky Way?  After all, you've some 100 billion other planets to pick from.  

In the movie Contact, the extraterrestrials have a phased exposure. The protagonist, Ellie Arroway, is put at ease by the extraterrestrial appearing as her father. The venue is a serene tropical beach. She is told they'd be in touch again later. The purpose is to allow humans time to assimilate that first contact and deal with a myriad of issues before moving forward. Whether we'd get that lead-in, an incremental introduction, is unknown. 

Weighing it all up, aliens coming here would not be hostile. But we need to discuss how we'd respond. If caught off-guard, the consequences for our species could be severe. Beyond that, we can only wait for ET to say 'Hi' and trust he is a congenial chap.

May 2017

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